Posted by
Roxanna M. on Friday, March 28, 2008 10:48:49 AM
It is 221 days to election day in November, and a lot can happen between now and then.
Right now, all political eyes are focused on the fight between Hillary and Obama, and things are getting ugly. Hillary can't explain the lack of sniper fire in Bosnia, and Obama can't explain how he went to a church for 20 years and didn't know what his pastor was saying. We hear that there's going to be a fight at the convention the likes of which we haven't seen since 1968, if then. We hear that the fight is going to destroy the democrat party altogether. We hear about the voters who are going to cross over to McCain if "their" candidate does not get the nomination. Whether voters will actually cross over or just stay home remains to be seen, but it doesn't bode well for democrats either way. Meanwhile, McCain is coasting along under the radar.
Come on, let's get real. This situation is not going to last forever. Come the last primary in June, we're going to know which democrat has the votes and the delegates. Given that the democrat hunger to regain the White House is almost palpable, would they really spend the two months until their convention bickering amongst themselves? Unfortunately, they may have no choice.
Nightmare scenario #1: Obama is ahead in delegates but behind in the popular vote. In this case, Hillary can plausibly make the assertion that she's the peoples' choice. Then what? Do they ask Obama to quit and risk alienating their biggest voting bloc? Or, do they ask him to be #2? If so, will he? Will Hillary accept him or exact vengeance for his impudence in daring to challenge her? On the flip side, will they ask Hillary to be #2? If so, will she? Will Obama accept her or exact vengeance of his own?
Nightmare scenario #2: Hillary is ahead in delegates but behind in the popular vote. In this case, Obama can plausibly make the assertion that he's the peoples' choice. Then what? Do they ask Hillary to quit and risk alienating . . . who? Or, do they ask her to be #2. If so, will she? Will Obama accept her or exact vengeance? On the flip side, will they ask Obama to be #2? If so, will he?
Nightmare scenario #3: Obama is ahead in both votes and delegates. Then what? How does the party not give him the nomination? And, in that event, what do they do with Hillary? She's been priming for this run pretty much her whole life, and I do not for one minute believe that she would go quietly, let alone - gasp! - concede. Do they ask her to be #2? If so, will she? She was already second once, and it doesn't appear that that's a role in which she's happy.
Which brings us to the superdelegates. What on earth do they do? How do they not go with the one who is ahead in delegates? On the flip side, how do they not go with the one who is ahead in the popular vote? Do they wait until the convention to voice their preferences, thereby continuing to direct the focus onto themselves rather than McCain right up to just weeks before the election? Or, will the party force them to choose in June so that a nice orderly convention can be had in August? If so, will the losing candidate claim that this is not appropriate and still bring the fight to the convention floor?
One thing is sure: Hillary doesn't give a whit about the democrat party. If she's going down, then by golly she's taking someone, or something, with her. In the interests of saving itself, will the democrat party allow itself to be bullied by a former president and his grasping wife? Will it say it's had enough of the Clintons? Will it tell Obama to wait his turn?
They'd better decide soon so that the MSM can turn its attention to its natural focus: Republicans.